The predicted winner of every Scottish seat analysed - where the polls agree and disagree, seats on knife edge
With less than a week to go until the general election on July 4, it looks like some seats in Scotland are safer than others.
Around a dozen different polls have been published, highlighting how some seats are safe, some are a two-horse race, and some we really just don’t know.
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Hide AdWe’ve taken a look at polls from Savanta, Ipsos, More in Common, Survation, YouGov, Britain Predicts, Focaldata, FT, Economist, Electoral Calculus, WeThink and electionmaps, and compared them to see which seats are safe - and which are not.
The polls are in agreement - these seats look safe
Aberdeen North - Kirsty Blackman, SNP
Aberdeen South - Stephen Flynn (two polls, Savanta and WeThink, say Taqueer Mailk, Labour)
Airdrie and Shotts - Kenneth Stevenson, Labour
Angus and Perthshire Glens - Dave Doogan - SNP
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry - Stephen Gethins, SNP (More in Common says Cheryl-Ann Cruikshank, Labour)
Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber - Brendan O’Hara, SNP (Savata thinks Hamish Maxwell, Labour)
Caithness, Sutherland and Bellshill - Jamie Stone, Lib Dem (More in Common says Lucy Beattie, SNP)
Coatbridge and Bellshill - Frank McNally, Labour (Survation thinks Steven Bonnar, SNP)
Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy - Melanie Ward, Labour
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale - David Mundell, Conservative (two polls, Electoral Calculus and WeThink, say Daniel Coleman, Labour)
Dunfermline and Dollar - Graeme Downie, Labour (two polls, Electoral Calculus and WeThink, say Naz Anis Miah, SNP)
East Kilbride and Strathaven - Joani Reid, Labour (Britain Predicts says Grant Constello, SNP)
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh - Chris Murray, Labour (two polls, Survation and YouGov, say Tommy Sheppard, SNP)
Edinburgh South - Ian Murray, Labour
Edinburgh West - Christine Jardine, Lib Dems (YouGov says Euan Hyslop, SNP)
Falkirk - Toni Giugliano, SNP (two polls, Survation and Focaldata, say Euan Stainbank, Labour)
Glasgow East - John Grady, Labour (Survation says David Linden, SNP)
Glasgow North - Martin Rhodes, Labour (Survation says Alison Thewliss, SNP)
Glasgow North East - Maureen Burke, Labour (Survation says Anne McLaughlin, SNO)
Glasgow South - Gordon McKee, Labour (two polls, Survation and WeThink, say Stewart McDonald, SNP)
Glasgow South West - Zubir Ahmed, Labour (two polls, Survation and Electoral Calculus, say Chris Stephens, SNP)
Glasgow West - Patricia Ferguson, Labour (Survation says Carol Monaghan, SNP)
Hamilton and Clyde Valley - Imogen Walker, Labour
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West - Martin McCluskey, Labour (WeThink says Ronnie Cowan, SNP)
Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire - Drew Hendry, SNP
Lothian East - Douglas Alexander, Labour
Mid Dunbartonshire - Susan Murray, Lib Dem (Savanta says Lorna Dougall, Labour)
Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey - Graham Leadbitter, SNP
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke - Pamela Nash, Labour (two polls, Survation and Electoral Calculus, say Marion Fellows, SNP)
North East Fife - Wendy Chamberlain, Lib Dem (More in Common says Stefan Hoggan-Radu, SNP)
Orkney and Shetland - Alistair Carmichael, Lib Dem (More in Common says Robert Leslie, SNP)
Paisley and Renfrewshire North - Alison Tayler, Labour (Britain Predicts says Gavin Newlands, SNP)
Paisley and Renfrewshire South - Johanna Baxter, Labour (WeThink says Jacqueline Cameron, SNP)
Perth and Kinross-shire - Pete Wishart, SNP
Rutherglen - Michael Shanks, Labour
Stirling and Strathallan - Alyn Smith (Electoral Calculus says Chris Kane, Labour)
West Dunbartonshire - Douglas McAllister, Labour (two polls, Survation and WeThink, say Martin Docherty-Hughes, SNP)
The polls are split - it’s a two-horse race
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East - four polls say Douglas Ross, Conservative, eight say Seamus Logan, SNP
Alloa and Grangemouth - eight polls say John Nicolson, SNP, four say Brian Leishman, Labour
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock - four say Allan Dorans, SNP, eight say Elaine Stewart, Labour
Bathgate and Linlithgow - three say Martyn Day, SNP, nine say Kirsteen Sullivan, Labour
Central Ayrshire - four say Annie McIndoe, SNP, eight say Alan Gemmell, Labour
Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch - five say Stuart McDonald, SNP, seven say Katrina Murray, Labour
Dundee Central - seven say Chris Law, SNP, five say Richard McCready, Labour
East Renfrewshire - five say Kirsten Oswald, SNP, seven say Blair McDougall, Labour
Edinburgh South West - five say Joanna Cherry KC, seven say Scott Arthur, Labour
Glenrothes and Mid Fife - three say John Beare, SNP, nine say Richard Baker, Labour
Gordon and Buchan - six say Richard Thomson, SNP, six say Harriet Cross, Conservative
Kilmarnock and Loudon - five say Alan Brown, SNP, seven say Lillian Jones, Labour
Livingston - three say Hannah Bardell, SNP, nine say Gregor Poynton, Labour
Na h-Eileanan Siar - six say Susan Thomson, SNP, seven say Torcuil Crichton, Labour
North Ayrshire and Arran - seven say Patricia Gibson, SNP, five say Irene Campbell, Labour
The polls are all over the place - it’s anyone’s game
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk - two say David Wilson, SNP, one says Caitlin Stott, Labour, and nine say John Lamont, Conservative
Dumfries and Galloway - seven say Tracey Little, SNP, one says James Wallace, Labour, and four say John Cooper, Conservative
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine - three say Andrew Bowie, Conservative, one says Kate Blake, Labour, and eight say Glen Reynolds, SNP
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