Brexit: When is the vote tomorrow and will it pass?

After several missed deadlines, numerous threats to walk away and a huge amount spent on no-deal preparations, MPs will on Wednesday vote on Boris Johnson’s trade deal.

When does the debate start?

The House of Commons and House of Lords will both be recalled on Wednesday, December 30 to scrutinise, debate and ultimately vote on the deal.

Parliament will sit from 9:30am, and try and rush through the whole process in just one day.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson is set to see his deal sail through the Commons tomorrowPrime Minister Boris Johnson is set to see his deal sail through the Commons tomorrow
Prime Minister Boris Johnson is set to see his deal sail through the Commons tomorrow
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The Prime Minister will open the second reading of the Bill - the first debate on the legislation, and his fellow Vote Leave organiser Michael Gove will close the debate for the UK Government.

MPs are then expected to approve the deal by 2:30pm, which will then see it go up to the House of Lords where peers are expected to finish voting on it after 10pm.

In theory, the Lords could add amendments to the Bill and send it back to the Commons, but given the circumstances are expected to wave it through.

The legislation will then receive Royal Assent either that night or in the early hours of Thursday morning.

At the same time in Brussels, the European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen and European Council president Charles Michel will sign the treaty, before it is flown over in an RAF plan to be signed by the PM in Downing Street.

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Will the deal pass?

The agreement will sail through the Commons, despite being opposed by opposition parties, including the SNP.

The SNP’s Westminster leader Ian Blackford has cited the fact Scotland as a whole voted to Remain in the EU during the referendum in 2016, and claimed it would be voted through, but not “in our name”.

He said: "This is a very bad deal for Scotland, which will terminate our membership of the EU, rip us out of the world's largest single market and customs union, end our freedom of movement rights, and impose mountains of red tape, added costs and barriers to trade for Scottish businesses.”

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The Lib Dems will also oppose the deal, leader Sir Ed Davey confirmed on Tuesday.

He said: “It’s bad for people’s jobs, with the biggest increase in red tape in British history.

"And bad for people’s safety, damaging our police’s ability to fight crime. Britain deserves so much better.”

However, Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer has ordered his MPs to vote for the deal in a bid to put it behind them, citing the fact no deal is the only alternative.

This will likely see a sizeable rebellion from his own MPs, as well as possible resignations from his shadow cabinet.

Former shadow chancellor John McDonnell and ex-cabinet minister Ben Bradshaw are among those to have signed a letter demanding parties vote against the "rotten" agreement.

The statement was organised by Another Europe is Possible and Labour for a Socialist Europe - both of which are on the left of the party.

Mr Johnson can also enjoy backing from the hardline Brexiteers of the European Research Group, who on Tuesday promised to back the deal.

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