The concerning % chance of Scotland reaching Euro 2020 last-16 ahead of England clash

Scotland head into this evening's Euro 2020 encounter with England knowing a draw or win will substantially increase their chances of progression from the group stage.

Monday’s 2-0 defeat to the Czech Republic at Hampden Park has put the country in a very difficult position.

Patrik Schick’s double has Steve Clarke’s side on the back foot and in need of a swift turnaround if Scotland are to reach a knock-out stage for the first time ever.

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Popular data-crunching website The Analyst is producing live Euro 2020 predictions throughout the tournament.

Scotland face England tonight. (Photo by Ross Parker / SNS Group)Scotland face England tonight. (Photo by Ross Parker / SNS Group)
Scotland face England tonight. (Photo by Ross Parker / SNS Group)

The data is not in Scotland’s favour with the team given just a 12.3 per cent chance of reaching the last-16. Only Turkey, Hungary and Macedonia have a lower percentage chance.

Scotland are given an 18.2 per cent chance of finishing third in the group which could see them progress and a 2.6 per cent chance of placing second.

A win or draw at Wembley could see those percentages increase going into the Croatia match.