Scottish vaccine scheme cuts cervical cancer risk by 90 per cent

The routine vaccination of girls aged 12 or 13 with the human papillomavirus HPV vaccine in Scotland has led to a “dramatic” drop in cervical disease in later life, new research suggests.

Human papilomavirus (HPV) is one of the most common sexually transmitted infections and many countries, including the UK, offer vaccination to girls to protect them against cervical cancer, and other related cancers, in later life.

Researchers who published their findings in the British Medical Journal (BMJ) said the vaccine has nearly wiped out cases of cervical pre-cancer in young women since an immunisation programme was introduced 10 years ago.

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A girl receives a vaccination. Picture: AP Photo/Seth WenigA girl receives a vaccination. Picture: AP Photo/Seth Wenig
A girl receives a vaccination. Picture: AP Photo/Seth Wenig
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They found the vaccine had led to a 90 per cent cut in pre-cancerous cells.

Unvaccinated women also showed a reduction in disease, possibly due to herd protection, say the researchers.

Previous studies suggest that vaccination protects against the most carcinogenic HPV types 16 and 18, which are responsible for 70 per cent of cervical cancer cases globally, but population data on the effect of routine vaccination on disease are lacking.

Scotland has an established national cervical screening programme and in 2008 introduced a national HPV immunisation programme for girls aged 12 and 13, with a catch-up programme up to age 18.

So a team led by Tim Palmer at the University of Edinburgh decided to use this data to measure the impact of routine vaccination of girls with the bivalent HPV vaccine (which targets HPV types 16 and 18) on levels of abnormal cells and cervical lesions (known as cervical intraepithelial neoplasia or CIN).

They analysed vaccination and screening records for 138,692 women born between 1988 and 1996 who had a screening test result recorded at age 20 (the age of invitation to first cervical screening in Scotland until mid 2016, when the starting age was raised to 25 years).

Unvaccinated women also showed a reduction in disease, suggesting that interruption of HPV transmission in Scotland has created substantial herd protection.

The researchers point to some limitations. For example, the analysis was confined to women who attended cervical screening at age 20 (51 per cent for vaccinated women and 23 per cent for unvaccinated women), possibly leading to over-estimation of vaccine effectiveness.

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However, the high uptake of vaccination, similarity in distribution of HPV type in attenders and non-attenders, and the appearance of herd protection “give reassurance that the observations can be extrapolated to the general population,” they write.

They say this study demonstrates that routine immunisation with the bivalent HPV vaccine is highly effective against high grade cervical disease, and they call for reappraisal of screening and referral services to reflect this evidence.

“The findings emphasise the credibility of using high risk HPV infection as an early marker of the effectiveness and success of the vaccine and underpin the recent call for global action on cervical cancer from the World Health Organization,” they conclude.

In a linked editorial, Julia Brotherton, Medical Director at VCS Foundation in Australia, says the findings are “dramatic and document a considerable reduction in high grade cervical disease over time.” This study also highlights the value of integrated registries “that can systematically collect and use high-quality data from screening and vaccination programmes,” she adds.

We must work towards a world in which all girls and their families are offered, and the majority accept, HPV vaccination, wherever they live,” she writes. “We must also actively develop, resource, and scale-up more effective, feasible and culturally acceptable strategies for cervical screening, such as self-collection of specimens, if we are ever to effectively reduce the global burden of cervical cancer.”