Poll: Labour overtake Tories, support for independence rises

A new survey has shown that Scottish Labour will overtake the Conservatives at the next Holyrood elections and become Scotland's second party once again.

Support for Scottish Labour has grown under new leader Richard Leonard, according to the poll.

The party has moved into second place behind the SNP in both Westminster and Holyrood voting intentions, a Survation survey for the Daily Record found.

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New Scottish Labour leader Richard Leonard has said he wants real change. Pic: John DevlinNew Scottish Labour leader Richard Leonard has said he wants real change. Pic: John Devlin
New Scottish Labour leader Richard Leonard has said he wants real change. Pic: John Devlin
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The poll for Westminster support put the SNP on 37 per cent - the same as the party polled in June - with Labour up one point to 28 per cent and the Scottish Conservatives down four to 25 per cent .

At Holyrood, the SNP lead on 39 per cent for constituency voting intentions, followed by Labour on 25 per cent and the Tories on 24 per cent, while the list votes see the SNP on 33 per cent, Labour 25 per cent and the Tories on 22 per cent.

The poll of 1,000 Scots was carried out online between November 27 and 30, just over a week after Mr Leonard succeeded Kezia Dugdale as Scottish Labour leader.

New Scottish Labour leader Richard Leonard has said he wants real change. Pic: John DevlinNew Scottish Labour leader Richard Leonard has said he wants real change. Pic: John Devlin
New Scottish Labour leader Richard Leonard has said he wants real change. Pic: John Devlin

Professor John Curtice said even a marginal change in support could have a big impact on future elections.

He told the Record: “Scotland has gone from being a land of safe seats to a land of marginals.

“Even a change of just 1 per cent could see some seats change hands.”

Survation also found that support for Scottish independence is two points higher than it was in the 2014 referendum, with 47 per cent of those questioned now backing Yes.

On Brexit, the Srvation poll found that EU support has strengthened in Scotland, with 68 per cent saying they would vote Remain if the referendum was repeated, up from 62% north of the border last year.

Almost half of Scots (49 per cent) think the UK will not make a success of Brexit compared with 33 per cent who are confident it will go well. The remaining 18% are unsure.