Over half of Scottish population still against independence - poll

An independent Scotland could struggle to rejoin the UN and EU. Picture: Phil Wilkinson
An independent Scotland could struggle to rejoin the UN and EU. Picture: Phil Wilkinson
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A newly released Ipsos MORI poll has shown support for independence has increased but still falls short of a majority of the Scottish population.

The survey suggests 38% of people would vote to take Scotland out of the UK which is up three points from a poll in August.

A total of 57% of respondents were against breaking away from the UK with 5% still unsure.

Voters appear to want an early say in the future of the constitution, rather than stick to First Minister Alex Salmond’s preferred timetable.

The SNP leader has said the referendum is likely to take place towards the end of this five-year parliamentary session, meaning it could be held in or after 2014.

But 33% of people in the survey want it held as soon as possible, while a further 31% want it within the next two years.

Two questions could feature on the ballot, offering yes-no options on independence or for enhanced powers and responsibility for almost all taxes while remaining in the UK.

Among those saying they are certain to vote, 68% back the second option, known as “devo-max”, up one point from August, 28% do not back it and 4% are unsure.

Support for independence is at 38%, while

The poll follows survey results last week which showed the SNP is twice as popular as Labour.

Mark Diffley, research director at Ipsos MORI, said: “Although our poll last week revealed growing support for the SNP, a clear majority of Scots do not currently support full independence and would prefer to remain part of the UK, albeit with the Scottish Parliament given substantial new powers.

“There does however appear to be growing support for the referendum to be held sooner rather than later which could put some pressure on the Scottish Government to alter its preference for holding the ballot in the second half of the current term.”

People aged under 34 are most likely to back Scottish independence, Ipsos MORI said. Support was at 47% among those aged 18-24 and 58% for 25-34 year olds.

Three-fifths (61%) who would vote SNP would also vote for independence.