Labour edges past SNP in voting intentions

LABOUR has edged past the SNP in voting intentions for the Scottish Parliament, a poll suggests.
Labour are slightly ahead in the regional top-up vote. Picture: PALabour are slightly ahead in the regional top-up vote. Picture: PA
Labour are slightly ahead in the regional top-up vote. Picture: PA

The main opposition party is level with the Nationalists at 38 per cent for the constituency vote but three points clear in the regional top-up vote at 37 per cent, according to the YouGov poll in The Times newspaper.

Translated into seats, it could make Labour the largest party at Holyrood, but still short of the SNP’s historic absolute majority in the 2011 election.

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The next election is not until 2016, beyond the independence referendum in September 2014.

The survey indicates a marked shift from May 2011 when the SNP won 69 seats and formed a majority government after four years in a minority administration.

Labour was heavily defeated then, moving from 46 seats to 37 in the 129-seat parliament.

Despite Labour’s improved rating, the poll also shows a strengthening SNP vote, moving up one point in constituencies and regions more than six years after taking power.

Labour support increased by four points in constituency voting intentions and by six points in regions.

Support for the Conservatives slipped two points to 14 per cent in constituencies and by one point down to 14 per cent in the regions.

The Liberal Democrats remain at 5 per cent in constituencies and dropped one point to 5 per cent in regions.

Support for the Greens dropped from 7 per cent to just 3 per cent in the regional vote - level with Ukip and the Socialist Party.

The figures are compared to a previous YouGov poll from September.