Anthony McGann: Tracking the polls

COMMENT: Anthony McGann, Professor in the School of Government and Public Policy at the University of Strathclyde, takes an in-depth look at opinion poll data on Scottish independence, and tracks a trend in support for a Yes vote.

On Tuesday, July 1, The Times reported a new YouGov poll that showed support for a Yes vote at 39% (once Don’t Knows were excluded). This was one point down from the last YouGov poll two weeks ago, and three points down from a YouGov poll in March. The Times announced, “Voters are turning their backs on the bid for Scottish independence, according to a dramatic new poll that threatens to leave Alex Salmond’s hopes in tatters.”

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