Polls show dead heat as Greeks vote on EU bailout

THE rival campaigns in Greece came to a halt yesterday on the eve of a closely watched bailout referendum, with voters in a dead heat over whether to defy creditors and push for better repayment terms or essentially seek new political leadership to find a compromise.
Newspaper headlines in Athens show support for both sides. Picture: AFP/GettyNewspaper headlines in Athens show support for both sides. Picture: AFP/Getty
Newspaper headlines in Athens show support for both sides. Picture: AFP/Getty

Rallies and publication of new opinion polls are banned 24 hours before today’s referendum called by left-wing prime minister Alexis Tsipras, who has promised to ease austerity after six years of recession.

Rival rallies took place half a mile apart in central Athens late on Friday, and Tsipras made his final pitch on a stage set up for a campaign rock concert outside parliament.

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“This is not a protest. It is a celebration to overcome fear and blackmail,” he told a crowd of 30,000 as they roared “Oxi, oxi” – which means no.

Tsipras is gambling the future of his new left-wing government on today’s snap poll – insisting a No vote will strengthen his hand to negotiate a third bailout with better terms.

If he loses, Tsipras has strongly indicated he would step aside.

Athens’ high-stakes standoff with lenders saw Greece default on debts last week, close banks to avoid their collapse, and lose access to billions of euros after an existing bailout deal expired.

The EFSF, the Eurozone’s rescue fund and Greece’s largest creditor, said on Friday it considered the country to be in default.

At Friday’s No rally, Athens resident Maria Antoniou said: “We have to strengthen Tsipras. It’s not his fault we are bankrupt. He doesn’t have the mandate to take tougher measures and now we are giving that to him. It’s not true this is a vote on the euro. It’s a vote to change course and stay in the euro, and Tsipras is our best hope.”

That is a message the Yes voters refuse to believe.

Police said about 22,000 people gathered outside the nearby Panathenian stadium for the Yes rally, waving Greek and European Union flags and chanting “Greece, Europe, democracy”.

Evgenia Bouzala, a Greek born in Germany, said she was considering shutting down her olive oil export business because of the financial turmoil.

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“I don’t think we can keep going. Look at what happened in the last three days. Imagine if that lasts another six months,” she said.

“A Yes vote would bring a caretaker government and that would probably be better… We have to start over.”

Rallies for both campaigns were also held in ten other Greek cities on Friday, and the drama remained high in the final hours of campaigning.

The country’s top court stayed in session before rejecting a petition to declare the referendum illegal. Political party leaders, personalities and even church elders weighed in with impassioned pleas to vote No or Yes on the airwaves and social media.

In a rare public declaration, 16 former armed forces leaders wrote an appeal to citizens to show “calm and national ­unity”.

Polls published at the end of a frantic week-long campaign showed the two sides in a dead heat, with an incremental lead from the Yes vote well within the margin of error.

They also showed an overwhelming majority of people – about 75 per cent – want Greece to remain in the euro.

Much of the ambiguity arises from the complicated question on the ballot paper: “Must the agreement plan submitted by the European Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund to the Eurogroup of 25 June, 2015, and comprised of two parts which make up their joint proposal, be accepted? The first document is titled ‘Reforms for the completion of the current program and beyond’ and the second ‘Preliminary debt sustainability analysis’.”

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Voters were asked to check one of two boxes: “Not approved/No” and below it “Approved/Yes”.

People don’t even understand the question,” Athens mayor George Kaminis told supporters at the Yes rally.

“We have been dragged into a pointless referendum that is dividing the people and hurting the country.”

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