Scottish independence: Support for independence falls to 30%, poll shows

Published on 10/07/2012 00:22

SUPPORT for Scottish independence has slumped to 30 per cent while those who would vote against it has risen to 50 per cent, according to a new poll.

• Backing for Scottish independence drops to 30 per cent, while figure for those who would vote against rises to 50 per cent

• Survey of over 1,000 adults across Scotland contrasts with more positive results in a poll last year

A new survey by TNS-BMRB contrasts with results gathered less than a year ago when the yes camp led the no camp by one percentage point.

The new poll was conducted following the launch of the Yes Scotland and Better Together campaigns for and against independence. It surveyed 1,022 adults across Scotland between June 27 and July 5.

The poll revealed that 30 per cent of people would vote for independence in a referendum while 50% would vote against it. The remaining 20% did not know how they would vote.

The results reveal a change in fortunes for the two campaigns, with a previous TNS-BMRB poll taken in August 2011 showing that 39 per cent would vote yes, 38 per cent would vote no, and 23 per cent did not know.

Another poll conducted in January this year showed that 35 per cent would vote yes, 44 per cdent would vote no, and 21 per cent did not know.

Chris Eynon, head of TNS-BMRB Scotland, said: “With over two years until the referendum and the campaigns on both sides barely under way, much can change as arguments for and against are rolled out and the electorate are encouraged to reconsider their options.

“However, the Better Together movement cannot but be enthused by this positive shift in their favour immediately following their campaign launch.”

The poll also revealed a rise in support for a devo max option, with 37 per cent of those surveyed choosing the transfer of more powers from Westminster to the Scottish Parliament, including tax and welfare, but excluding defence and foreign affairs.