Pound could hit parity with US dollar, economist warns

The pound has fallen to a fresh 31-year low. Picture: Lee Jin-man/AP Photo

The pound has fallen to a fresh 31-year low. Picture: Lee Jin-man/AP Photo

48
Have your say

The pound could hit parity with the US dollar for the first time in history unless the UK government gets its “political act together” after the Brexit vote, according to economist Mohamed El-Erian.

The chief economic adviser to European insurance giant Allianz said the government must “urgently” draw up a post-Brexit plan including new trade agreements or sterling could fall towards parity with the greenback.

His warnings come after the pound dropped to a fresh 31-year low on Wednesday, to under $1.28, although it has since recovered a little to stand at $1.30.

El-Erian reportedly said: “After the Brexit referendum, the UK has to urgently get its political act together.”

He added: “If Plan B is delayed and/or it doesn’t involve much of a free trade set-up with the EU, it is not inconceivable for sterling to head to parity with the US dollar.”

READ MORE: Brexit: Value of UK market highlighted amid talks in Edinburgh

Deutsche Bank experts have also predicted the pound to fall as low as $1.15.

There are fears of yet more pressure on sterling if the Bank of England decides to cut interest rates in next Thursday’s monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting.

Bank governor Mark Carney has already said policymakers are likely to cut rates over the summer to shore up the economy after the referendum result, which has hit the pound.

Sterling has been weakened further by worrying economic data and more warnings from Carney this week that fears over the impact of a Brexit vote have started to “crystallise”.

Traders at ETX Capital said sterling could have further to fall, but added that forecasts of parity with the dollar were “a little far fetched”.

Andrew Edwards, chief executive of ETX Capital, said: “So much depends on what the Bank of England decides to do next week.

“Cut interest rates further and the pound could easily have a leg lower.”

Back to the top of the page