General Election 2017: pound falls but market rises

Shares rose in early trade following the shock election result. Picture: Daniel Leal-Olivas/AFP/Getty Images
Shares rose in early trade following the shock election result. Picture: Daniel Leal-Olivas/AFP/Getty Images
Share this article
0
Have your say

The FTSE 100 was boosted following the shock general election result, with the pound extending losses against both the dollar and euro.

London’s top flight index was higher as traders digested news that Theresa May’s Conservatives fell short of an overall Commons majority.

Theresa May’s goal of achieving an enlarged mandate ahead of the Brexit negotiations has backfired disastrously

Jason Hollands

Sterling also plummeted off the back of the result, with the pound trading 2 per cent down against the dollar at $1.27. Against the euro, the pound also fell more than 1.5 per cent to €1.13.

• READ MORE: General election news

The slump in sterling is boon for multinational companies listed on the FTSE 100, as many tend to benefit from earnings in currencies that are stronger than the pound, but the FTSE 250 – a better barometer of UK sentiment – was trading lower.

Own an innovative start-up? Find out how to win £5,000 for your business

Colin McLean, managing director of Edinburgh-based SVM Asset Management, said: “If anything can be taken from a confused election result, it is that the electorate does not want a hard Brexit. This may already be reflected in the calmness with which investors approached the election.

“Business and consumer confidence has been resilient. The pound has sold off overnight and could see a further modest fall, giving up its rally this year. The weak result for the SNP in Scotland undermines the momentum for another independence vote.

“Investors usually pay too much attention to politics – elections reinforce the notion that governments can control the direction of the economy. In practice, business confidence is not so easily directed.”

Jason Hollands, managing director of investment management group Tilney, said: “In a night of high political drama, voters have delivered a heavy blow to Theresa May whose goal in calling the election of achieving an enlarged mandate ahead of the Brexit negotiations has backfired disastrously.

“From an investment perspective, a hung parliament is a market-unfriendly outcome as it creates more uncertainty in the near term – something markets hate. Even assuming the Conservatives can cobble together enough support from Northern Ireland’s unionist parties to form an administration, it is unclear whether a seriously wounded Mrs May can survive the ferocious backlash in her party.”

He added: “As we saw in the immediate aftermath of the EU referendum, it is usually best to let the dust settle on the initial market reactions to political events such as this rather than act hastily. So, for now, the best course of action is probably to sit tight and assume the brace position as some potentially volatile days are ahead for markets as well as UK politics.”

200 Voices: find out more about the people who have shaped Scotland

Markets had priced in a healthy Conservative majority, giving May free rein to take charge of Brexit negotiations unhindered.

However, others believe that a hung parliament increases the likelihood of a softer Brexit, which could be supporting the pound and preventing it going into freefall.

Kathleen Brooks, research director at City Index, said: “Perhaps the market is looking at this result as a vote for a softer Brexit, which could boost the pound in the long run.”

SVM’s Anderson added: “A barely workable Conservative majority will certainly weaken Britain’s hand in Brexit negotiations and may delay the start of talks this month.”

Click here to ‘Like’ The Scotsman Business on Facebook